Friday, August 26, 2011, Stanford University Alumni Center
Mission: To foster innovations
in science and technology, public policy and social norms that impact the
challenges and opportunities of longer life spans and aging well.
Margaret
Dyer-Chamberlain, Senior Research Scholar and Managing Director, provided
an overview of the Center, saying that its focus is to ensure that added years
serve as a gift, not a burden. The origins of the Center are
interdisciplinary—psychology and neurology—and its research areas include the following:
·
Mind – Cognition and memory, decision making,
emotional regulation and experience. Recent studies focus on estrogen and
memory.
·
Mobility – Osteoarthritis, sedentary behavior
·
Financial Security – Education, planning, fraud.
The Longevity Center offers a new Center on Financial Fraud.
·
Global Aging – Public discourse, research on
economic and political considerations
·
Politics, Scholars & the Public: Health care
reform, Medicare, healthy aging, and communities. Question: How do you measure
what’s a healthy community?
Courses include an undergraduate longevity course, a
first-year seminar, and an undergraduate student practicum.
Think about this: By the time today’s children grow old,
living to 100 will be common.
Global Population
Aging
Presenter Adele M.
Hayutin, Ph.D., is a Senior Research Scholar and Director of the Center’s
Global Aging Program. She indicates that aging is personal for all of us, and
it’s also global. Knowing it’s unfolding differently around the world, Dr.
Hayutin’s goal is to describe global changes and show us that the United States
is younger than most advanced economies. For example, with correct information,
we can adjust portfolios and advocate for changes.
A primary issue of population aging: The increase in the share of old people is more important
than the number of old people. She
notes that since we graduated (1959), Americans are living longer and we are
having fewer children. These forces have major consequences, which she compares
to the forces of two rivers clashing—where results may be tumultuous.
Worldwide, old people (65+) outnumber young people (0-14
years old) in more developed countries. If it’s not true today, it will be in
2030 and 2050. The working age population has skyrocketed. Western Europe and
Japan have the highest percentages of old people (again, 65+). Most of Asia has
a young population. Thirteen percent of the U.S. population is old. Twenty
years from now, Africa will continue to have a young population, and this will
be in sharp contrast to Asia.
Declining fertility and increasing longevity drive the age
statistics. In Japan, the average age in 1952 was 22; in 2010, it was 45; in
2030, it will be 52. In the U.S., the average age in 1952 was 30; in 2010, it
was 37; in 2030, it will be 40. This was demonstrated in graphs showing a
pyramid shape for our ages (oldest population at the top) in 1952 to a
projected cube in 2030.
Young countries face different challenges. When one considers
that Pakistan’s average age was 14 in 1950, 21 in 2010, and will be 26 in 2030,
Hayutin indicates that the Arab Spring was not surprising.
China now has too many bachelors, and that is considered a
national security issue. So the country is easing its one-child policy. China
will see a shrinking work force. Work forces are currently shrinking in the
following countries: Italy, South Korea, Germany, Japan, and Russia.
Each country faces a different reality. How do we adapt?
Increasing immigration and advancing the retirement age are possibilities.
Dr. Hayutin ended her talk by asking us to write to our
Congress members, asking them what they are doing about our aging population.
Stanford Prevention
Research Center
Sandra J. Winter, Ph.D., from the Healthy Aging Studies Group,
Stanford Prevention Research Center, Student University School of Medicine, was
the next presenter. The center has promoted research on healthy aging for over
30 years. She offered these facts about chronic disease:
·
Accounts for seven out of 10 deaths each year;
·
One out of two adults has a chronic condition;
·
Can result in daily activity limitations;
·
In 2003, cost the U.S. $1,323 billion.
Americans are living longer and have an increased risk of
chronic disease. (Hypertension is the most common.)
Three common causes of physical problems are physical
inactivity, smoking, and diet. We don’t always do what is good for us. We need
new strategies. Here’s a start:
·
Advocacy – Neighborhood eating and activity
advocacy teams like backyard gardens and cooking classes and potluck dinners
provide improved nutrition with socialization. Seniors learn that things that
are manmade (e.g., fast food restaurants, a lack of sidewalks in a community) provide
risk.
·
Stanford Healthy Neighborhood Tool – The program
provides tablet computers for seniors to carry and record pictures (potential
risks) and sounds (their reactions).
·
Mobile Interventions for Lifestyles &
Exercise at Stanford – This program provides apps (mTrack – a fancy pedometer,
mSmiles, and mConnect) for seniors who already use smartphone technology.
The Healthy Aging Studies Group is most interested in
reaching the underserved. All of these
strategies focus on getting people to walk more.
Stanford Aging
Research – A Whirlwind Sampler Tour
Presenter Ken Smith is
a Senior Research Fellow and Director of Academic Research and Support at the
Center. A former aerospace engineer, Smith now serves as a faculty liaison in
the program. Here goes with the whirlwind tour!
·
The Future Self Project: How would you like to
be a young person viewing an aged version of yourself? This computer program
provides such a display and also provides an aged avatar with which the person
can perform activities. After viewing themselves, participants answer
questionnaires. And they increase their savings programs.
·
Tai Chi – Controlling the autonomous: This study
demonstrated Tai Chi’s potential benefit to circulatory control.
·
White Matter Hyperintensities in the Brain: This
study provided groundwork for future dementia studies by developing methods for
tracking neural pathways.
·
Shoe for Osteoarthritis Sufferers: The Center
designed a shoe for knee arthritis patients, and since Spring 2011 it’s being
sold as the ABEO SMARTsystem at the Walking Company.
·
Sedentary Behavior in the Workplace: This is an
upcoming pilot study in an insurance company’s call center. The long-term
result might be a new health guideline.
·
Glenn Laboratory for the Biology of Aging: This
lab was new in 2011. It is investigating the role of stem cells in the aging
process. Discoveries in the mechanisms of aging may clarify age-related
disease.
·
Biology of Aging – a molecular “odometer” for
aging: The eventual impact may be its ability to predict remaining lifespan.
·
Center for the Prevention of Financial Fraud: With
the elderly frequently being targeted in financial fraud, the hope is to set up
a new network through which information can be shared nationwide. This will be
discussed at a conference in Washington, DC, in November.
·
Healthcare Choices: Knowledge of personal cost
needs to be included in public opinions on healthcare reform. Currently there
is some support for this, but it is nuanced.
·
Interdisciplinary studies: Psychology,
neurology, biology, medicine, law, business, political science, and computer
science are coming together in the Center’s studies.
·
Self-Driving Automobiles: This study potentially
impacts the major mismatch between housing build-out and the aging population.
Watch for the book Planning
to Stay which will be published in 2012. Most people want to “age in
place.” The book includes contributions from many experts, including former HUD
Secretary Henry Cisneros, Margaret Dyer-Chamberlain and Jane Hickey of the
Center, and 24 other expert authors.
The Center has 10 full-time
employees. Contact Smith by e-mail.
He also invites us to consider providing funds for such projects at The
Stanford Challenge.
The session ended with audience comments by Class of ‘59er
Carroll Estes, Ph.D., who is a sociologist and gerontologist at the University
of California, San Francisco. She has been a political sociologist for the last
nine years, is president of the Gerontology Society of America, and is a member
of other related groups. She is working with the National Committee to Preserve
Social Security and Medicare—a political action committee (PAC). She has
written two books on long-term care.
Carol described the CLASS Act, where Community Living
Assistance with Support Services (CLASS) is based upon cash and counseling and
would save the government $87 billion. The fatal flaw is that it doesn’t
require 100% participation by Americans. If passed, the CLASS Act will belong
to Health and Human Services (HHS).
Carol has participated in McArthur Foundation studies that
have revealed that heredity is less important than environment in longevity.
One take-away for the Class of ’59: Meaning-based
activity is the most beneficial.